Are capital controls useful to mitigate global financial shocks?

Authors

  • Caterina Brest-López Universidad de San Andrés; Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas.
  • Jorge Carrera Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas; Universidad Nacional de La Plata; Banco Central de la República Argentina.
  • Gabriel Montes Universidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas, Departamento de Economía; Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas.-Universidad de Buenos Aires, Instituto Interdisciplinario de Economía Política.
  • Fernando Toledo Universidad Nacional de La Plata; Banco Central de la República Argentina.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.59339/de.v62i238.534

Keywords:

Monetary Policy Shocks, Capital Controls, Capital Flows, Panel Data

Abstract

This paper studies if capital controls ameliorate the impact of financial shocks for capital inflows (defined as net selling of domestic assets to non-residents) and outflows (defined as net buying of domestic assets to residents). It estimates dynamic panel data models with quarterly data for 17 emerging economies for the 2001-2015 period and analyzes the interaction effect of capital control indices and shocks to the United States monetary policy on international capital mobility. The main findings show that the interaction variables are statistically significant in ameliorating speculative capital inflows. However, capital controls are not statistically significant for capital outflows. These asymmetric results indicate that capital controls are relevant for non-residents portfolio decisions, but they are not for residents’ decisions (accumulation of external assets by residents).

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Published

2023-06-15

How to Cite

Brest-López, C. ., Carrera, J., Montes, G., & Toledo, F. . (2023). Are capital controls useful to mitigate global financial shocks? . Desarrollo Económico. Revista De Ciencias Sociales, 62(238), 142–169. https://doi.org/10.59339/de.v62i238.534

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Papers